ETD: 997 End of a retail era; Chico's Falls Out of Fashion With Investors; Fastest-growing retailers tend to be smaller ones

E-Tailer's Digest etd_post at gapent.com
Wed Aug 2 20:47:44 GMT 2006


  E-Tailer's Digest --- Everything for the  Retailer
  Issue #0997            August 3, 2006
  George Matyjewicz, Moderator         mailto:georgem at gapent.com
  Published by:  GAP Enterprises, Ltd.  http://www.etailersdigest.com
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     CONTENTS
  [1]  Greetings
  [2]  End of a retail era
  [3]  Chico's Falls Out of Fashion With Investors
  [4]  Fastest-growing retailers tend to be smaller ones

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  [1]  Greetings.
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Hi All:

Yesterday was the end of an era for retailing - 
Wanamaker's became Macy's.  John Wanamaker was 
regarded as the man who started the department 
store in the late 1800s.  Their history is quite 
fascinating.  Check out some of the firsts they did throughout history.

It's interesting to note that one of the Top 10 
retailers in the U.S. has fallen out of favor in 
the investment world.  Here's a retailer that has 
operating-income margin consistently exceeding 
20%, compared with 3.5% for the apparel-retail 
industry.  And their average sales per square 
foot of more than $1,000 are among the highest in 
specialty retail.  But investors are worried that 
their new brands may not do as well.  Go figure.

Speaking of the Top 10 Retailers, Stores Magazine 
has published the Top 100 Retailers.  It's 
interesting to note that more than half of the 
companies listed are NOT among the nation's 
largest retailers.  Sounds reasonable, since the 
smaller retailer can grow more rapidly.

These stats can be used as a guide for your store.  How are you doing?

I have to listen to my wife.  She became a 
Chico's junkie a couple of years ago.  Just 
recently she started shopping at Coldwater Creek, 
which is doing better than Chico's (#7 vs #10).

Now, let's get to everything for the retailer.

Sincerely


George Matyjewicz, PhD
Chief Global Strategist, GAP Enterprises, LLC
mailto:georgem at gapent.com
http://www.etailersdigest.com


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  [2]  End of a retail era
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On Wednesday, August 2, 2006 an end of a retail 
era occurred in Philadelphia.  Wanamaker's 
department store became another Macy's.

Wanamaker's was the first department store in 
Philadelphia and one of the first, if not the 
first, department store in the United States. It 
was renowned for its honest reputation and for 
innovating many retailing firsts in America. At 
its zenith in the early 20th Century, there were 
16 Wanamaker's stores, but year's of decline 
caught up with them and in 1995 the chain was 
absorbed into Hecht's (but kept the name.

History.  John Wanamaker, the founder of the 
store that bears his name, was unable to join the 
U.S. Army during the American Civil War due to a 
persistent cough. Having been rejected from war 
duty, he instead ventured into business with his 
brother-in-law, Nathan Brown. In 1861, they 
founded a men's clothing store in Philadelphia 
called Oak Hall. Wanamaker carried on the 
business alone after Brown's death in 1868. In 
1876, Wanamaker purchased the abandoned 
Pennsylvania Railroad station for use as a new, 
larger retail location. The concept was to 
renovate the terminal into a "Grand Depot" 
similar to London's Royal Exchange or Paris' Les 
Halles - two central markets, and forerunners of 
the modern department store, that were well-known in Europe at that time.

The Wanamaker's Grand Depot opened in time to 
service the public visiting Philadelphia for the 
American Centennial Exposition of 1876. In 1877 
Wanamaker's was refurbished and expanded to 
include not only men's clothing, but women's 
clothing and dry goods as well. This was 
Philadelphia's - and perhaps America's - first 
modern day department store. A circular counter 
was placed at the center of the building, and 
concentric circles radiated around it with 129 counters of goods.

Enlightened retailing.  Wanamaker first thought 
of how he would run a store differently as a 
youth, when a merchant refused his request to 
exchange a purchase. A practicing Christian, he 
chose not to advertise on Sundays. His faith also 
informed other business decisions, many of which 
were innovative and before their time. Before he 
opened his Grand Depot for retail business, he 
let evangelist Dwight L. Moody use its facilities 
as a meeting place, while Wanamaker provided for 
300 ushers among his store personnel. His retail 
advertisements - the first to be copyrighted 
beginning in 1874 - were factual, and promises 
made in them were kept. Word of this increased 
Wanamaker's business, and John Wanamaker never 
lost the public's trust while he pioneered truth in American advertising.

Wanamaker guaranteed the quality of his 
merchandise in print, allowed his customers to 
return purchases for a cash refund, and offered 
the first restaurant to be located inside a 
department store. Wanamaker's also innovated the 
price tag, because John Wanamaker believed if 
everyone was equal before God, then everyone 
should be equal before price. All of these 
concepts were seen as innovations in American retailing at the time.

His employees were to be treated respectfully by 
management (including not being scolded in 
public), and John Wanamaker & Company offered its 
employees access to the Wanamaker's Commercial 
Institute, as well as free medical care, 
recreational facilities, profit sharing plans and 
pensions - long before these type of benefits 
were considered standard in corporate employment.

Innovation and "firsts" marked Wanamaker's. The 
store was the first department store with 
electrical illumination in (1878), first store 
with a telephone in (1879), first store to 
install pneumatic tubes to transport cash and 
documents in (1880),and was also the first store 
with an elevator in (1884). In 1910, Wanamaker 
closed his famous Grand Depot, and moved into a 
brand-new, purpose-built structure in Center 
City, Philadelphia, which opened in 1911. The 
palatial store featured the former St. Louis 
World's Fair pipe organ (one of the world's 
largest at that time), installed it in the Grand 
Court with a dedication attended by President 
William Howard Taft on December 30, 1911. This 
organ still stands in place in the store today 
and is registered as the first organ designated a 
National Historic Landmark (1980). The Wanamaker 
Organ is the largest operational pipe organ in 
the world. News of the Titanic's sinking was 
transmitted to Wanamaker's wireless station in 
New York City, and given to anxious crowds 
waiting outside - yet another first for an 
American retail store. Public Christmas Caroling 
in the store's Grand Court began in 1918.

Other innovations included employing buyers to 
travel overseas to Europe each year for the 
latest fashions, the first White sale in (1878) 
and other themed sales such as the February 
"Opportunity Sales" to keep prices as low as 
possible while keeping volume high. The store 
also broadcast its organ concerts on the 
Wanamaker-owned radio station WOO-AM beginning in 1922.

The famous advertising axiom "half the money I 
spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I 
don't know which half" is credited to John Wanamaker.

The slow decline.  After John Wanamaker's death 
in 1922 the business carried on under Wanamaker 
family ownership and continued to thrive for a 
time. Over time, Wanamaker's lost business to 
other retail chains, including Bloomingdale's and 
Macy's in the Philadelphia market. The Wanamaker 
Family Trust finally sold John Wanamaker and 
Company, with its now bedraggled and shabby 
stores to Los Angeles-based Carter Hawley Hale 
Stores in 1978. Carter Hawley Hale poured $80 
million (USD) into renovating the stores, but to 
no avail — customers had gone elsewhere in the 
intervening decades, and did not come back.

Finally, in 1986 the now 15-store chain was sold 
to Woodward & Lothrop, owned by Detroit real 
estate businessman A. Alfred Taubman. Taubman 
reorganized the business with a shortened 
corporate name (Wanamakers' Inc.), and poured 
millions more into store renovations and public 
relations campaigns. This too was no help, as 
Taubman's retail interests were heavily in debt 
and the stores' combined sales were a 
disappointment. Woodward & Lothrop collapsed in 
bankruptcy in the early 1990's, and the Wanamaker 
stores were sold to May Department Stores company 
on June 21, 1995. Wanamaker's Inc. was formally 
dissolved, the corporate offices on the upper 
floors of the Center City flagship store were 
closed, and operations were consolidated with 
May's Hecht's Division in Arlington, Virgina. The 
Wanamaker's name was removed from all stores and 
replaced with Hecht's. In 1996, May acquired 
Wanamaker's historic rival Strawbridge & Clothier 
and re-branded all Philadelphia-area Hecht's 
locations with the Strawbridge's name, excluding 
the Center City location, as the Strawbridge's 
flagship store was located only a few blocks down 
the street. The Center City Hecht's was closed 
for a lengthy renovation and refurbishment that 
saw the retail space reduced in size by several 
floors, and the former Wanamaker's corporate 
offices on the upper floors subdivided into 
commercial office space. In 1997, New York-based 
Lord & Taylor, another division of May Department 
Stores, opened in the former Wanamaker's flagship 
in Center City, Philadelphia. In Summer 2006, the 
store will be closed for a few months for yet 
another renovation, and will reopen as a Macy's, 
operated by Macy's East Division of Federated 
Department Stores Inc., which acquired May in 
late 2005. The rebranding to Macy's is due to 
Federated's decision to downsize the Lord & 
Taylor chain for eventual sale. Federated will 
replace all of May's former regional brands with 
Macy's and Bloomingdale's, and the announced 
closure of the Strawbridge's flagship in Center 
City meant that the Lord & Taylor was the only 
suitable location left in the area for a Macy's.

Wanamaker history at...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wanamaker's

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  [3]  Chico's Falls Out of Fashion With Investors
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Women's apparel retailer Chico's FAS Inc. has a 
problem: It has been so successful that there may 
not be many new customers left to attract.

After becoming one of the stock market's top 
performers over the past decade, Chico's shares 
have fallen more than 50% since reaching a high 
Feb. 22 of $49.40. The slide began in early 
March, when the company reported sales and 
earnings below analysts' expectations.

The reversal in Chico's fortune revolves around 
the question of whether the Fort Myers, Fla., 
company can sustain its success as the expansion 
of its original brand -- which sells comfortable, 
colorful styles aimed at baby-boomer women in 
about 500 stores -- slows while the company 
develops three other brands it has created or acquired in the past three years.

Chico's has high hopes for those newer brands: 
White House/Black Market, with about 200 stores 
that sell only black-and-white apparel and have a 
younger customer base; Soma, an intimate-apparel 
brand with 20 stores; and Fitigues, a small, 
upscale active-wear chain of 10 stores. This 
year, the company plans to open an additional 63 
to 67 White House/Black Market stores, 45 to 47 
Chico's stores and 33 to 36 Soma stores.

But they have a tough act to follow. Chico's has 
long been one of the most admired retail 
companies in the U.S. Its operating-income margin 
consistently exceeds 20%, compared with 3.5% for 
the apparel-retail industry, according to 
financial-information service ProfitCents. Its 
average sales per square foot of more than $1,000 
for the Chico's brand are among the highest in 
specialty retail, its embellished styles have 
proved difficult for competitors to mimic and it 
has one of the most successful loyalty programs 
in retail. Its unique sizing system, which has a 
scale of 0 to 3 instead of a standard 4 to 16, 
has been a big draw for aging customers. Some 
analysts cite these strengths in arguing the stock is undervalued.

But as long as Chico's remains the dominant 
brand, investors will base their view of the 
company on that brand's performance. Lately the 
news hasn't been good. After the sales and 
earnings disappointment in March, Chico's in late 
May scaled back its earnings estimate for the year.

This month, it said sales at stores open at least 
a year rose 5.1% in June -- less than the 5.8% 
analysts were expecting and well below the 
double-digit gains of recent years. Chico's 
expects same-store sales, a closely watched 
measure, to increase in the mid-single digits for the rest of the year.

The retailer attributes these problems to a few 
discrete problems. It says it is fixing bad color 
choices and improving its selection of 
cold-weather clothing for its northern U.S. 
stores. It is expanding some Chico's and White 
House/Black Market stores, with more space for 
cash registers and dressing rooms to shorten 
lines. In April, it hired a new chief marketing 
officer from teen retailer American Eagle Outfitters Inc.

For the first time in years, the number of new 
sign-ups to Chico's loyalty program is slowing, 
spelling trouble for future sales growth, as most 
of its sales come from these regular shoppers.

Neely Tamminga, a retail analyst with Piper 
Jaffray, points out that 23% of households with 
an income of $75,000 or more -- Chico's target 
demographic -- include a loyal Chico's shopper. 
That is up from one in 10 three years ago. Ms. 
Tamminga has a "market perform" rating, the 
equivalent of a "hold," on the stock; she doesn't 
own Chico's shares, but Piper Jaffray makes a market in its securities.

"Clearly this speaks to Chico's past success, but 
we believe that the concept may be hitting a 
saturation point," Ms. Tamminga wrote in a July 5 
note to investors. She said retailers at a 
similar stage of growth to Chico's typically 
begin to command lower price/earnings ratios. 
Chico's trades at a per-share multiple of about 
20, while its specialty-retail competitors range 
from 13 for the established Talbots Inc. to about 
40 for relative newcomer Coldwater Creek Inc.

Details at...
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB115404324315219787.html

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  [4]  Fastest-growing retailers tend to be smaller ones
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The biggest retailers aren't necessarily the 
fastest growing, according to a study to be 
released Tuesday by Stores, the monthly magazine 
of the National Retail Federation.

In fact, fewer than half of the firms in its 
first-ever list of 100 retailers with the largest 
revenue growth in 2005 vs. 2004 are among the nation's largest retailers.

For instance, Wal-Mart is the nation's largest 
retailer, with $312.4 billion in 2005 revenue. 
But it is 78th in terms of revenue growth (up 9.5% in 2005).

Mergers and acquisitions accounted for revenue 
growth for three of the top five companies, 
including the fastest-growing retailer, GameStop, 
which sells computer software and games. Among 
other reasons for growth: adding stores, 
improving catalog sales, increasing online sales. 
Alliance Data of Dallas studied all retailers 
with more than $100 million in revenue. It found 
that revenue jumped an average:

24.0% for department stores
20.9% for tweens and teens stores
19.7% for sporting goods
16.8% for women's apparel
16.6% for footwear
13.4% for housewares

Top 10 retailers for revenue growth
  1. GameStop 67.8%
  2. Overstock.com 62.5%
  3. The Children's Place 44.0%
  4. Federated Dept. Stores 42.0%
  5. Abercrombie & Fitch 37.8%
  6. Bebe 36.8%
  7. Coldwater Creek 33.5%
  8. Dress Barn 32.5%
  9. Urban Outfitters 32.0%
10. Chico's 31.6%

Top 10 for earnings growth
  1. Casual Male 606.0%
  2. Rite Aid 320.9%
  3. Gymboree 289.7%
  4. The Pantry 267.6%
  5. New York & Co. 235.4%
  6. Circuit City 126.2%
  7. J.C. Penney 107.6%
  8. Federated Dept. Stores 104.1%
  9. Longs Drug Stores 102.1%
10. Bebe 96.4%

Details at:
http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/retail/2006-07-31-retail-lists-usat_x.htm 


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